Total cases 413,068,347
Total duration 913 days
Max. active cases 16,005,189 in one day
Peak 11-08-2021
Infection case factor 6.36
Herd immunity 33.79 %
Total Deaths 9,959,342
Fatality infection rate 0.38 %
Reproduction factor R 6.20, 3.89, 2.57, 2.06, 1.31, 1.26, 0.83, 2.93, 3.24, 3.35, 3.02, 2.53, 1.95, 0.11, 1.06, 0.09, 0.90, 0.96, 0.94, 0.90, 0.88, 0.09, 1.06, 1.06, 1.17, 1.08, 1.02, 1.05, 1.15, 1.17, 1.20, 1.11, 1.06, 1.03, 1.06, 0.95, 0.99, 1.04, 1.14, 1.00, 1.06, 1.03, 1.17, 1.04, 1.03, 1.17, 0.12, 1.35, 1.36, 1.29, 1.22, 1.19, 1.18, 1.12, 1.14, 1.13, 0.97, 1.02, 1.32, 1.29, 1.18, 1.11, 1.03, 0.95, 0.91, 0.97, 1.08, 1.06, 1.01, 1.06, 1.17, 1.27, 1.23, 1.34, 1.27, 1.18, 1.45, 1.59 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
Reproduction factor R (altenrative way) 3.05, 1.98, 1.40, 1.31, 1.09, 1.00, 0.90, 1.17, 1.61, 1.68, 1.55, 1.41, 1.24, 1.08, 1.01, 0.97, 0.94, 0.96, 0.95, 0.96, 0.95, 0.98, 1.00, 1.00, 1.03, 1.01, 0.98, 1.00, 1.02, 1.05, 1.08, 1.02, 0.99, 1.01, 1.00, 0.98, 0.95, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00, 0.95, 1.00, 1.02, 1.00, 0.98, 1.01, 1.05, 1.07, 1.06, 1.05, 1.04, 1.03, 1.03, 1.01, 1.02, 1.02, 0.97, 0.97, 1.08, 1.04, 1.02, 1.01, 0.99, 0.97, 0.95, 0.94, 0.95, 0.99, 0.98, 0.99, 1.01, 1.04, 1.02, 1.06, 1.03, 1.02, 1.11, 1.11 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
R for forecast 1.13

Assumptions

Modelling the spread of Covid 19 with the help of the SIR-Model. These assumptions have been made:

  1. Dealing with the infection data as if they were continuous variables. In reality they are discrete variables
  2. Based on SIR-Model
  3. Cases are modeled based on rise in death
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