Total cases 381,272,542
Total duration 913 days
Max. active cases 10,056,248 in one day
Peak 07-11-2021
Infection case factor 6.02
Herd immunity 29.49 %
Total Deaths 8,638,194
Fatality infection rate 0.38 %
Reproduction factor R 6.20, 3.89, 2.57, 2.06, 1.31, 1.26, 0.83, 2.93, 3.24, 3.36, 3.02, 2.52, 1.96, 0.11, 1.08, 0.09, 0.92, 0.98, 0.95, 0.92, 0.89, 0.92, 0.10, 1.05, 1.15, 1.05, 1.01, 1.05, 1.15, 1.21, 1.14, 1.09, 1.08, 1.05, 1.02, 0.95, 0.96, 1.03, 1.12, 0.99, 1.03, 1.02, 1.15, 1.05, 1.03, 1.17, 1.26, 1.35, 1.36, 1.29, 1.22, 1.19, 1.18, 1.12, 1.14, 1.13, 0.98, 1.03, 1.33, 1.30, 1.19, 1.12, 1.05, 0.96, 0.92, 0.98, 1.08, 1.07, 1.01, 1.06, 1.18, 1.25, 1.23, 1.32, 0.12, 1.25, 1.23, 1.19, 1.10, 1.10, 1.12, 1.07, 1.04, 0.97, 1.17, 1.02, 1.03, 1.11, 1.17, 1.17, 1.37, 1.17, 1.51, 1.41, 1.40 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
Reproduction factor R (altenrative way) 3.05, 1.98, 1.40, 1.31, 1.09, 1.00, 0.90, 1.18, 1.61, 1.68, 1.55, 1.41, 1.24, 1.09, 1.02, 0.98, 0.95, 0.97, 0.96, 0.97, 0.95, 0.98, 1.00, 1.00, 1.02, 1.01, 0.98, 1.00, 1.03, 1.05, 1.03, 1.02, 1.01, 1.01, 1.00, 0.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.99, 0.95, 0.99, 1.02, 1.00, 0.98, 1.01, 1.05, 1.07, 1.06, 1.05, 1.04, 1.03, 1.03, 1.01, 1.01, 1.02, 0.97, 0.97, 1.08, 1.04, 1.03, 1.01, 1.00, 0.97, 0.95, 0.94, 0.95, 0.99, 0.98, 0.99, 1.01, 1.04, 1.02, 1.06, 1.03, 1.03, 1.02, 1.01, 1.00, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00, 0.98, 0.92, 0.97, 0.99, 1.02, 1.06, 1.01, 1.07, 1.04, 1.05 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
R for forecast 1.08

Assumptions

Modelling the spread of Covid 19 with the help of the SIR-Model. These assumptions have been made:

  1. Dealing with the infection data as if they were continuous variables. In reality they are discrete variables
  2. Based on SIR-Model
  3. Cases are modeled based on rise in death
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