Total cases 36,621,296
Total duration 913 days
Max. active cases 2,010,227 in one day
Peak 30-08-2020
Infection case factor 71.75
Herd immunity 33.77 %
Total Deaths 3,415,618
Fatality infection rate 0.13 %
Reproduction factor R 5.98, 3.72, 2.46, 1.99, 1.25, 1.19, 0.77, 2.79, 3.15, 3.22, 2.91, 1.28, 1.88, 1.36, 1.03, 0.90, 0.91, 0.97, 0.92, 0.49, 0.89, 1.03, 1.85, 1.61, 1.38 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
Reproduction factor R (altenrative way) 3.05, 1.98, 1.40, 1.31, 1.09, 1.00, 0.90, 1.17, 1.61, 1.68, 1.55, 1.41, 1.23, 1.08, 1.01, 0.98, 0.93, 0.97, 0.96, 0.96, 0.95, 0.99, 1.18, 1.12, 1.08 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
R for forecast 1.15

Assumptions

Modelling the spread of Covid 19 with the help of the SIR-Model. These assumptions have been made:

  1. Dealing with the infection data as if they were continuous variables. In reality they are discrete variables
  2. Based on SIR-Model
  3. Cases are modeled based on rise in death
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