Total cases 80,862,025
Total duration 913 days
Max. active cases 3,902,941 in one day
Peak 10-11-2020
Infection case factor 33.32
Herd immunity 34.63 %
Total Deaths 3,502,223
Fatality infection rate 0.13 %
Reproduction factor R 6.20, 3.89, 2.57, 2.06, 1.31, 1.26, 0.83, 2.97, 3.24, 3.35, 3.02, 0.19, 1.92, 1.40, 1.05, 0.91, 0.93, 0.98, 0.87, 0.86, 0.84, 0.10, 1.08, 1.08, 1.21, 1.10, 1.04, 1.09, 1.18, 1.22, 1.25, 1.16, 1.10, 1.08, 1.12, 1.01, 1.04, 1.86, 1.64, 1.38 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
Reproduction factor R (altenrative way) 3.05, 1.98, 1.40, 1.31, 1.09, 1.00, 0.90, 1.17, 1.61, 1.68, 1.55, 1.41, 1.23, 1.08, 1.02, 0.98, 0.94, 0.96, 0.96, 1.01, 0.95, 0.95, 1.00, 1.00, 1.02, 1.01, 0.98, 1.00, 1.02, 1.05, 1.08, 1.02, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00, 0.99, 0.95, 1.14, 1.11, 1.03 (last 3 results may be inaccurate)
R for forecast 1.12

Assumptions

Modelling the spread of Covid 19 with the help of the SIR-Model. These assumptions have been made:

  1. Dealing with the infection data as if they were continuous variables. In reality they are discrete variables
  2. Based on SIR-Model
  3. Cases are modeled based on rise in death
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