{"id":4860,"date":"2016-02-21T11:04:54","date_gmt":"2016-02-21T11:04:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/?p=4860"},"modified":"2016-02-21T11:04:54","modified_gmt":"2016-02-21T11:04:54","slug":"%d9%82%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%88%d9%86-%d8%a8%d8%a7%d9%8a%d8%b2-bayes-%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b3%d8%a7%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%ad%d8%aa%d9%85%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b4%d8%b1%d9%88%d8%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/?p=4860","title":{"rendered":"\u0642\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u064a\u0632 Bayes \u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0637\u0629"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0633\u0647\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u062a\u0646\u0639. \u0641\u0647\u0648 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\u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u0649 \u0641\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u0628\u0644\u063a 1%\u061f<\/p>\n<p>\u0627\u0630\u0646 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062f\u0646\u0627 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u00a0 \u0628\u0627\u064a\u0632 \u0641\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b C \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0646\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u062d\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062f\u0631\u0629. \u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b A \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643. \u0627\u0630\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u0646\u0631\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062c\u0631\u0649 \u0644\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0629. \u0646\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643\u00a0\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0627\u00a0 \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u062e\u0631 4 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0629:<br \/>\n1 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0645\u062e\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643<br \/>\n2 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643<br \/>\n3 \u0627\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627<br \/>\n4 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/traffic.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4889\" alt=\"traffic\" src=\"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/traffic.png\" width=\"607\" height=\"314\" srcset=\"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/traffic.png 607w, http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/traffic-300x155.png 300w, http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/traffic-500x258.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 607px) 100vw, 607px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u0649 \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0646: \u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0643\u0649 \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0646: \u0647\u0644 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u0649 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627 \u062b\u0645 \u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632. \u0627\u0630\u0646 \u0648\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0642\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u064a\u0632 \u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u0646\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0646: \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0637\u064a \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0630\u0644\u0643. \u0648\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0641\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0645 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 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\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a<\/strong><br \/>\n\u0642\u0628\u0644 20 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627 . \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627 \u0641\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1997 \u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0649 \u0648\u0623\u0646\u062c\u0644\u064a\u0632\u064a \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0637\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u063a\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629. \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0643\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u062c\u0644\u064a\u0632\u064a \u0627\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0633\u062a\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062a Ian Stewart.<\/p>\n<p>\u062c\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u062f \u0647\u0645 \u0639\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0631\u062c\u0644 \u0648\u0632\u0648\u062c\u062a\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0637\u0641\u0644\u0627\u0646. \u0623\u0646\u062a \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u062a. \u0641\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u0649 \u0628\u0646\u062a \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u061f<br \/>\n\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0641\u0643\u0631 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u062a \u0639\u0627\u0644. \u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631 \u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u0628\u0646\u062a \u0648\u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627. \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u0649 \u0628\u0646\u062a \u0647\u0648 50%. \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626\u0629. \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0649 \u0636\u0648\u0621 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0642\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u064a\u0632.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/dog1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4895\" alt=\"dog1\" src=\"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/dog1.png\" width=\"573\" height=\"311\" srcset=\"http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/dog1.png 573w, http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/dog1-300x162.png 300w, http:\/\/eltawil.org\/sciencewonders\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/dog1-500x271.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 573px) 100vw, 573px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0646\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0646\u062d\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0648 \u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0642\u0644. \u0627\u0630\u0646 \u062f\u0639\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0633\u0645 \u0634\u062c\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0623\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0649 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\u0623\u0642\u0648\u0649.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0633\u0647\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u062a\u0646\u0639. \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0647 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0648\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u062f\u064a\u0647\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0646 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0627. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0641\u0649 \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0635\u0639\u0628 \u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0646. \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644: \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0635\u064a\u063a 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